Category Archives: NASCAR

Race Day 2014: Our Predictions + A Competition

Now that we’ve decided on our menu for tomorrow’s motor sports triple header, it’s time we focus on the racing aspect of tomorrow’s races. Since we’re both avid race fans, we’re each going to give our predictions to win, as well as our money bets (where we see good value from Vegas odds). We’ll each have $50 bucks to spend over the three races. We’ll be using odds from Bovada. To make this more fun, we’re going to compete against each other with these rules:

Winning picks – 10 points if your pick wins, 6 for 2nd place, 3 for 3rd place.

Money bets – 1 point for each dollar profited. No points lost if no profit.

Winner gets breakfast in bed on Monday.

Monaco Grand Prix Predictions 

Winning picks:

Nick – It’s pretty clear that the two Mercedes boys are the favorites. Between them, they’ve won every pole position and race. For my race winning pick, I’m taking Nico Rosberg. The pole sitter at Monaco has won 9 of the last 10, there’s no rain in the forecast to shake things up, and Nico is the defending champ (from pole last year).

Deena – Sebastian Vettel. Why? The Mercedes boys take each other out, and Vettel gets by his teammate Ricciardo. And…he’s Sebastian Vettel.

Money Bets:

Nick – $5 on Daniel Ricciardo at 16-1 (to win $80). If the Mercedes boys take each other out, I like Ricciardo to hold his spot and take the win. I think the Mercedes duo could take each other out at least once if they ran this race ten times, let alone 16.

Deena – No bets.

Indianapolis 500

Winning picks:

Nick – I have to favorites to win this race, and they are both simply gut-feel kind of picks. I like Marco Andretti to break the Andretti curse or James Hinchcliffe to bring the Borg-Warner Trophy to Canada for the first time since 1995 when Jacques Villeneuve came from two laps down to win (his own personal Indy 505). If I have to pick one, let’s say the curse continues. Hinchcliffe, rebounding from a concussion two weeks ago at the inaugural Grand Prix of Indianapolis is my pick.

Deena – I am going with the #DoubleOutlaw, Kurt Busch, to pull of the shock victory in the greatest race in the world, despite it being his first ever race in an Indycar. Why? He’s simply a hell of a driver, and if he keeps it off the wall he should be in that lead pack. From there, he’s got just as much talent and aggressiveness out there to win it as anyone.

Money Bets:

Nick – $5 on Justin Wilson at 50-1 (to win $250), $10 on Scott Dixon at 9-1 (to win $90), $10 on James Hinchcliffe at 11-1 (to win $110). My reasons? I like Wilson to hang around the lead pack just as he did the last two years. He also led the race late in 2009 in a Dreyer & Reinbold car. At 50-1, I think it’s value. Dixon’s Indy finishes from 2006-2012: 6, 2, 1, 6, 5, 5, 2 . I like that consistency. And Hinch for reasons stated above with my race winning pick…gut feel.

Deena – $5 on J.R. Hildebrand at 40-1 (to win $200), $5 on Simon Pagenaud at 16-1 (to win $80), $10 on Marco Andretti at 13-2 (to win $65). I like J.R. at Indy. He proved in 2011 he’s got the ability, and in an Ed Carpenter Racing entry, he has the wheels underneath him. Pagenaud is simply a great driver, he typically keeps his car off the wall, and he has a strong pit crew. Marco grew up around Indycar racing, and he can wheel it at the 500. He’s built for this track…the question is, will the curse continue?

Coca-Cola 600

Winning picks:

Nick – I’m going to say Kasey Kahne pulls it off here. He’s had a rough year so far, currently 16th in points. But Charlotte is a great track for him. With five wins at Charlotte (one in the All-Star Race, one in the fall race, and three in the Coca-Cola 600), he’s got this place down, and starts up front. And he needs the win badly.

Deena – I like Dale Junior to win. He’s been getting stronger and stronger in recent years, and almost won the 600 in 2011, running out of fuel on the last lap.

Money Bets (we’re going to have to use odds from CarbonSports.Ag since Bovada’s odds are currently off for this one at time of posting):

Nick – $15 on Danica Patrick at 300-1 (to win $4500), $5 on Joey Logano at 12-1 (to win $60). Yes, I’m putting money on Danica. To make this bet profitable, if this race were run 300 times, she’d only have to win once. She’s run well lately, finishing 7th at Kansas, another 1.5 mile track. She qualified 4th, and is confident and comfortable. I believe once in every 300 tries, she can at least win this thing on fuel mileage. As for Logano, I like him about as much as I like Kahne, but he has better odds than Kasey.

Deena – $10 on Danica Patrick at 300-1 (to win $3000), $5 each on Keselowski, Earnhardt Jr., Ky. Busch, and Larson at 7-1, 12-1, 15-1, and 20-1 respectively (to win $35, $60, $75, and $100 respectively). Danica because look at dem odds! As for the rest, I they’re all clearly talented drivers who are all running well. A small bet on each, and a win by any of the four turns me a small profit on this race.

Who do you all have winning? Who are your value picks? Leave a comment below and let us know!